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When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the … ignition of wage-price spirals will trigger inflation dynamic instability. However, such scenarios do not materialize in the … updated according to the actual inflation process, with indexed wages, and persistent inflation shocks. In these cases, a more …
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Using US data, we estimate optimal policy with a probability below one that the Fed reneges on its commitment ("limited credibility") versus discretionary policy where the Fed reneges on its commitment at all periods with a probability equal to one ("zero credibility"). The transmission...
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an inflation targeting regime in 1993 we allow for a discrete break in the central bank's instrument rule. A key equation …
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perceived as less credible, anticipation effects are attenuated and, accordingly, output and inflation do not respond as …
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