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We examine how private sector agents might learn a new monetary strategy that is adopted while at the ELB. Little can be discovered until the economy improves enough that rates would be near liftoff under the old strategy. Recessionary shocks would thus delay learning while large inflationary...
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Price-level targeting (PLT) is optimal under the fully-informed rational expectations (FIRE) benchmark but lacks … experiment - where expectations are elicited from human subjects - to collect data on expectations, inflation and output dynamics … emulate the subjects' expectations with a micro-founded heterogeneous-expectation New Keynesian (HENK) model and reproduce the …
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We propose a novel framework to gauge the credibility of central banks' commitment to an inflation-targeting regime …
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Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts … credibility index. The inflation forecasts' credibility index may be calculated for all types of inflation forecasts made by …
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