Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept … of inflation forecast targeting (IFT), inflation forecasts play a crucial role in the instrument rate decision …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts …

long run Phillips curve recorded -0.75 in Sweden and -0.23 in the United States. While the average inflation rate in the … United States was very close to its targeted level, the average inflation rate in Sweden was 0.6 per- centage points below … its targeted level over the sample period. The deviation of inflation rate from its targeted level in Sweden resulted in …

Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary … policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada …'s Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015 period. The data are aggregated to construct an inflation expectations index …

Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary … policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada …'s Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015 period. The data are aggregated to construct an inflation expectations index …

Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …

-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …

Many central banks release inflation forecasts to reduce uncertainty; at the same time, an increasing number rely on a … publicly stated medium-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. We examine how the adoption of an inflation target … (IT) by a major central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), influenced the impact of its inflation forecasts on private sector …

We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …

based on the changes in actual inflation rate do not perform very well in environments of chronic inflation. We design an … the central bank’s ability to lower inflation expectations towards its inflation target via current interest rate … differs from the existing measures that are based on the deviation of inflation expectations from the inflation target. We …

We disentangle the channels through which inflation expectations affect household spending. We conduct a survey … featuring hypothetical scenarios that generate a controlled increase in inflation expectations. For 74% of households, current … spending is unresponsive, typically due to fixed budget plans or irrelevance of inflation expectations. About 20% of households …