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This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation … forecasts of inflation) but also makes forecasters less uncertain about their own beliefs, thus reducing ex-ante average … individual uncertainty. By combining and exploiting these types of ex-ante inflation uncertainty, results suggest that central …
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We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
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We assess the relevance of the monetary policy of the ECB in the context of persistent inflation differentials among … adopted an appropriate monetary policy rule to prevent low inflation countries from a deflationary spiral, but that it did not … consider the negative effects induced as a consequence on the countries with a higher inflation rate. This raises the question …
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