How exposure to risk affects economic growth is a key issue in development. This article quantifies both the ex ante and ex post effects of risk using long-running panel data for rural households in Zimbabwe. It proposes a simulation-based econometric methodology to estimate the structural form...

Using a unique panel data set for rural households in Zimbabwe we estimate a microeconomic model of growth under uncertainty, a stochastic version of the Ramsey model with livestock as the single asset. We use the estimation results in simulation experiments (over a 20-year period) to quantify...