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What began to unveil in the beginning of 2018 has become a reality since mid-2019: the global economic slowdown. What is unusual is that it is taking place synchronously, similar to the situation during the financial crisis. How could that happen when the central banks have been trying to...
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In this paper, we derive a structural relationship between the gold price and the U.S. TIPS (Treasury Inflation …-Protected Securities) yields under the fact that both the gold and the U.S. dollar are international currency anchors. The relationship can … be interpreted as defining the fair value and the risk premium of gold in an economy model where inflation indexed bonds …
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gold standard. We identify (i) positive effects of commodity-export prices on real GDP and the domestic price level and (ii …
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