Population growth rates have fallen considerably in most developed countries. An important question for monetary policy is whether this has led to a fall in the natural rate of interest. In representative agent models, the response of the natural rate to a fertility shock crucially depends on...

Part I. Understanding the Monetary System and Debt Bubbles in Modern Economies -- Chapter 1. How Money is Created in a Modern Economy (Max Rangeley) -- Chapter 2. Business Cycles, Debt Bubbles and the Monetary System (Max Rangeley) -- Chapter 3. Analysis of the Formation of the Super Bubble (Max...

SVAR models that include a single world price (such as the terms-of-trade) predict that world shocks explain a small fraction of movements in domestic output (typically less than 10 percent). This paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices transmit world...

Stylized facts on U.S. output and interest rates have so far proved hard to match with simple DSGE models. I estimate covariances between output, nominal and real interest rate conditional on structural shocks, since such evidence has largely been lacking in previous discussions of the...