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This article considers the current economic situation from the lens of modern money theory (MMT) and expresses a policy response rooted in post-Keynesian theory and empirical data for the US and the euro area. First, MMT supports targeted deficit spending to promote production. Increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433735
the real interest rate using core inflation, while the QPM relies on headline inflation. The results indicate that the … inflation targeting regime and restrictive policies during the IT regime's active implementation. These findings emphasize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194423
structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation. This analysis shows that the presence of time … less than five years. By contrast, variations in inflation expected over the next two to three years are very accurately … term structures closely track changing expectations regarding future nominal and real yields but not future inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131069
inflation surge and derives projections for the future. In 2020, the Fed took the negative prescribed rates, which were far … clearly signaled the need for tightening because of the rise of inflation, yet the Fed waited until spring 2022 to raise the … federal funds rate. With the decline of inflation over the course of 2023, the rules' prescriptions have also come down. They …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485244
We analyze the effect of monetary policy on yield spreads between corporate bonds with different credit ratings over the business cycle. We use futures contracts to distinguish between expected and unexpected changes in the Fed funds target rate and several indicators to distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070170
This paper examines the effects of negative interest rate policies (NIRP) on foreign exchange and equity markets of eight European countries and Japan. NIRP announcement effects on currency depreciation are shown to be transitory. In contrast, on the day of NIRP implementation, both currency and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236107
Most macroeconomic models imply that increases in government spending cause interest rates to rise, but empirical evidence from the U.S. generally fails to support this prediction. We propose a novel explanation for how government spending can have a muted or negative temporary effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856140
Policy makers have argued that markets are not pricing climate risk appropriately yet, which may lead to a misallocation of resources and financial instability. Climate riskadjusted refinancing operations (CAROs) conducted by the central bank are one possible instrument to address this issue....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544313
My paper, “Does the Fed control interest rates?” is in the 2013 Review of Asset Pricing Studies (Volume 3, pp. 180-199). The paper finds that the Fed controls the Federal Funds (FF) rate (the overnight rate on interbank borrowing of reserves). Other short-term rates are related to FF, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857232
For Matías Vernengo and Esteban Pérez Caldentey (2020), the MMT literature overemphasizes the choice of the exchange rate regime and the relevance of a flexible exchange rate regime, as well as the ultimate effect of that choice upon the policy space. In addition, they argue that the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551300