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sector. Shock decompositions suggest a positive contribution of ECB QE to annual euro area output growth and inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804879
This paper compares the distributional effects of conventional monetary policy and quantitative easing (QE) within an estimated open-economy DSGE model of the euro area. The model includes two groups of households: (i) wealthier households, who own financial assets and can smooth consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959999
Long-term interest rates of small open economies correlate strongly with the US long-term rate. Can central banks in those countries decouple from the US? An estimated DSGE model for the UK (vis-`a-vis the US) establishes three structural empirical results. (1) Comovement arises due to nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887034
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
inflation volatility has not been affected by the presence of the term premium. At the same time, the term premium shock had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987476
Long-term interest rates in a number of small-open inflation targeting economies co-move more strongly with US long-term rates than with short-term rates in those economies. We augment a standard small open-economy model with imperfectly substitutable government bonds and time-varying term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011337163
We estimate a DSGE model with Preferences Over Safe Assets (POSA) on Euro Area macroeconomic data and interest rate expectations measures. The model with POSA has much better empirical fit than the otherwise identical model without, especially once interest rate expectations are added to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549721
We establish basic facts about the external finance premium. Tens of millions of individual loan contracts extended to euro area firms allow studying the determinants of the external finance premium at the country, bank, firm, and contract levels of disaggregation. At the country level, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527119
the future shock realizations. In 1998Q4-2002Q4, the two year constant interest rate projections turn out immodest when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583556
Stylized facts on U.S. output and interest rates have so far proved hard to match with DSGE models. But model predictions hinge on the joint specification of economic structure and a set of driving processes. In a model, different shocks often induce different comovements, such that the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128641