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Stock markets play a key role in corporate financing in Asia. However, despite their increasing importance in terms of size and cross-border investment activity, the region's markets are reputed to be more “idiosyncratic” and less reliant on economic and corporate fundamentals in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056805
This study employs the recently developed Lagrange multiplier-based causality-in-variance test by Hafner and Herwartz (2006), to determine the volatility spillovers between interest rates and stock returns for the US, the euro area, the UK, and Japan. The investigation pays careful attention to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101454
At the dawn of a potential rise in rates triggered by Central Banks in both Europe and the United States, doubts are being raised about the ability of low-volatility portfolios to continue to deliver robust performance. We quantify this latent performance lag and provide empirical explanations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931989
We show that part of the outperformance of low-volatility stocks can be explained by a premium for interest rate exposure. Low-volatility stock portfolios have negative exposure to interest rates, whereas the more volatile stocks have positive exposure. Incorporating an interest rate premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902964
We present a simple 2-factor model that helps explaining several capital asset pricing model (CAPM) anomalies (value premium, return reversal, equity duration, asset growth, and inventory growth). The model is consistent with Merton's intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) framework and the key risk factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975495
This paper examines the effect of macroeconomic news announcements (MNA) on the stock market. Stocks exhibit a strong positive response to major MNA: 1 standard deviation of MNA surprise causes 11-25 bps higher returns. This response is highly time-varying and is weaker during periods of high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235404
We show that short interest predicts future bad news, negative earnings surprises, and downward revisions in analyst earnings forecasts. Moreover, short interest is a better predictor of changes in firm fundamentals for stocks that are harder to short and short sellers appear to have information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086821
The objective of this paper is to employ the generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic in the mean (GARCH-M) methodology to investigate the effect of interest rate and its volatility on the bank stock return generation process. This framework discards the restrictive assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006325
The nature of the relation between stock returns and the three monetary variables of interest rates (bond yields), inflation and money supply growth, while oft studied, is one that remains unclear. We argue that the nature of the relation changes over time, and this variation is largely driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813273
The aim of this research is to assess whether the interest rate cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic period in Poland affected asset returns on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). Within the pandemic period, and immediately after the first lock-down announcement on March 12, 2020, interest rates were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314287