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This paper examines the role of country-specific sources of output and interest rate or exchange rate volatility in driving FDI activities. Building on a dataset with bilateral FDI flows among 24 OECD economies over the period 1985-2007, we find that nominal and real volatility strongly deter...
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In this paper, we examine how the business and interest rate cycles in developed countries affect FDI to developing countries. After aggregating flows into three big source areas (the U. S. , Europe and Japan), we find FDI flows to be countercyclical with respect to both output and interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126336
The article analyzes Mexico under globalization, particularly on the free mobility of capital. It argues that globalization has detrimentally impacted the productive and external sectors, causing the economy to become excessively reliant on volatile capital inflows from abroad. The Mexican...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551305
We propose a macroeconomic model in which adverse selection in investment drives the amplification of macroeconomic fluctuations, in line with prominent roles played by the credit crunch and collapse of the asset-backed security market in the financial crisis. Endogenous lending standards emerge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034334
The interest rate at which US firms borrow funds has two features: (i) it moves in a countercyclical fashion and (ii) it is an inverted leading indicator of real economic activity: low interest rates forecast booms in GDP, consumption, investment, and employment. We show that a Kiyotaki-Moore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903888
We propose a novel measure of risk perceptions: the price of volatile stocks (PVSt), defined as the book-to-market ratio of low-volatility stocks minus the book-to-market ratio of high-volatility stocks. PVSt is high when perceived risk directly measured from surveys and option prices is low....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902628
The purpose of this study is to find the effect of the exchange rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, and the interest rate on Domestic Direct Investment (DDI) in Indonesia. This study uses multiple linear regression models and simple regression in the forms of semi-logarithmic. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247151
The risk-taking effects of low interest rates, now prevailing in many advanced countries, "search-for-yield," can be hard to analyze due to both a paucity of data and challenges in identification. Unique, security-level data on portfolio investment into the United States allow us to overcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854698