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During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
This paper investigates whether ETF returns lead the returns of underlying bonds and similar style bond funds. Bond prices are often stale due to their lack of liquidity, and price discovery may occur in ETFs and then in underlying bonds. As predicted, we find that ETF returns predict its own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837666
This paper studies the differential credit risks embedded in the cross-section of credit spreads. Using corporate bond data from 1999 to 2018, we find that credit spreads relative to those of peers — defined as bonds with the same stated credit rating — contain reliable information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838717
During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898459
The asymmetry in price pressure from seller vs. buyer-initiated transactions is identified as valuable measure of downside liquidity for corporate bonds. While the evidence of illiquidity on risk premium in the cross-section of corporate bonds is mixed, the aggregate liquidity asymmetry has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835834
Based on a reduced-form model of credit risk, we explore mispricing in the CDS spreads of North American companies and its economic content. Specifically, we develop a trading strategy using the model to trade out of sample market-neutral portfolios across the term structure of CDS contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903851
We examine the pricing implications of reaching for yield, which we define as a preference for bonds with higher yields at a given rating or for bonds with higher ratings at given yields. Reaching for yield is associated with high valuation and thus negatively predicts cross-sectional bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851685
Interest rate changes typically affect the value of equities. However, the slow movement of investment capital may delay the transmission of this information from interest rate markets to stocks. Using a century of data from sixty countries, we demonstrate that yield curve shifts predict future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244504
This paper examines the cross-sectional drivers of credit returns for Swiss franc corporate bonds in a comprehensive sample including transaction prices and effective bid-ask spreads from 2007 until 2022. Momentum, carry, value and defensive characteristics explain a significant part of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258619
Bonds issued in high and low interest-rate environments often list at different prices despite very similar characteristics. From a risk-neutral investor's perspective, higher current prices imply higher losses in case of default, which must be compensated, if markets are efficient. We call this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512365