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In this paper we propose a novel, analytically tractable, one-factor stochastic model for the dynamics of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and their returns, which we refer to as the spread-return mean-reverting (SRMR) model. The SRMR model can be seen as a hybrid of the Black-Karasinski model...
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We propose an approach for the dynamical estimation of initial margins. We determine initial margins at future points in time by computing a risk measure of the modelled price increment over a margin period of risk. As an example, we produce the initial margin process for interest rate swap...
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Based on a stylised financial system along with a systemic perspective thereof, we consider the structure of an aggregated banking system that is vulnerable to liquidity risks. Within this setup, a consistent mathematical modelling framework for term interest rate systems is derived that enables...
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The general problem of asset pricing when the discount rate differs from the rate at which an asset’s cash flows accrue is considered. A pricing kernel framework is used to model an economy that is segmented into distinct markets, each identified by a yield curve having its own market, credit...
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Modelling the risk that a financial institution may not be able to roll over short-term borrowing at the market reference rate, we derive the dynamics of (interbank) reference term rates (e.g., LIBOR) and their spread vis-à-vis benchmarks based on overnight reference rates, e.g., rates implied...
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