This paper investigates the dynamics of the term structure of bond market illiquidity premia. We analyze the comovement of short-, medium-, and long-termilliquidity premia and identify economic factors determining them. Our resultsshow that the term structure of illiquidity premia is U-shaped on...

We examine the informational content of TIPS yields from the viewpoint of a general 3-factor no-arbitrage term structure model of inflation and interest rates. Our empirical results indicate that TIPS yields contained a "liquidity premium" that was until recently quite large (~1%). Key features...

This paper introduces bond market order flow as a predictor variable in term structuremodels and provides evidence that order flow has forecasting ability over and above thatof forward rates. Both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts show that models includ-ing interdealer order flow outperform...

Entgegen früherer Studien, die darauf hinweisen, dass der gesamte Credit Spread eines Bonds durchdas mit diesem Bond verbundene Kreditrisiko induziert ist, zeigen neuere empirische Untersuchungen,dass neben Kreditrisiken noch weitere Faktoren die Höhe des Credit Spreads determinieren.Die...

This paper developes a model of optimal consumption and portfolio choice for infinitely-lived investors facing stochastic interest rates, solve it using an approximate analytical method, and evaluate the conventional wisdom.

With increasing appreciation of the fact that stock return variance is stochastic and variance risk is heavily priced, the industry has created a series of variance derivative products to span variance risk. The variance swap contract is the most actively traded of these products. It pays at...

This paper analyzes the term structure of interest rates in an exchange-only Lucas (1978) economy where consumers learn about a stochastic growth rate through observations of the endowment process and an external public signal. We allow for deluded consumers, who exaggerate the degree of...

This paper provides regime-switching stochastic volatility extensions of the LIBOR market model. First, the instantaneous forward LIBOR volatility is modulated by a continuous time homogeneous Markov chain. In a second parameterization, the volatility is modelled by a square root process with a...

The challenge of international term structure models is to simultaneously account for the properties of interest rate term structures and foreign exchange rates within an arbitrage-free framework. We extend the quadratic term structure models proposed in Leippold and Wu (2002) to multiple...

We develop a continuous time general equilibrium yield curve model under ambiguity aversion. A moderate level of ‘aggregate ambiguity’ affects significantly the term structure and can drive the prices of common interest rate derivatives toward the patterns observed in fixed income markets....