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A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
Yield curves are used to imply the forward rates and discount factors from market tradable instruments and are required to discount future cash flows and evaluate the price of all financial contracts. Not all instruments can be included in the yield curve calibration or fitting process, hence we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213650
investors' learning behavior into an equilibrium stochastic volatility model. In the model, we introduce noise signals as a …-varying volatility for stock returns, even when volatility of economic fundamental is constant. As a source of risk, for investors with … volatility and jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024745
The paper studies estimation of implied volatility and the impact of the choice of the corresponding risk-free rate … proxy. We suggest to analyze the implied volatility and the risk-free rate proxy inferred in conjunction from the observed … to narrower volatility spread, or the difference between implied and realized volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034123
conditioning on skewness increases the predictive power of the volatility spread and that coefficient estimates accord with theory … of the volatility spread to skewness. We measure skewness from option prices and test these predictions. We find that … the term structure of option-implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis and find that time-dependence in returns has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852916
This paper estimates the term-structure of volatility risk premia for the stock market. Realized variance term premia … are increasing in systematic risk and predict variance swap returns. Implied volatility term premia are decreasing in risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851215
, such as the market excess return, size, book-to-market, momentum, liquidity, market volatility, and the variance risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044719
volatilityinduced stationarity. Our model employs a leveldependent conditional volatility that maintains stationarity despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111254
This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
macroeconomic shares of yield curve volatility over a fixed sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314107