This paper reports on a fully structured interview survey, using a multi-sectional questionnaire, of experienced construction contract price forecasters. The aim of the research was to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of ‘early-stage’ forecasts and experience (defined in...

This paper examines the relative performance of three different systems of forecasting movements in macro building prices. The three systems analysed are (1) the Building Cost Information Service system, (2) the Davis, Langdon & Everest system, and (3) Akintoye and Skitmore's reduced-form...

The financial management of the construction procurement process is dependent upon on the performance of the managers involved. This paper describes an analysis of pre-tender building price forecasts (estimates) made by a Hong Kong consulting organisation for a series of 89 building projects...

The financial management of the construction procurement process is dependent upon on the performance of the managers involved. This paper describes an analysis of pre-tender building price forecasts (estimates) made by a Hong Kong consulting organisation for a series of 89 building projects...

Previous research on building pre-tender cost estimating stresses the importance of giving accurate estimates and minimizing estimating errors. Cost models, especially those mathematical models using mean square error or the like for model training and validation, often treat positive errors...