The present study is centered primarily on determining whether the German banking system is to be characterized by procyclical behavior from 2000 to 2011 and to what extent specific sectors of the German banking system showed significant balance sheet operations to increase their leverage within...

I analyze a static, noisy rational expectations equilibrium model where traders exchange vectors of assets accessing multi-dimensional information under two alternative market structures. In the first (the unrestricted system), informed speculators condition their demands for each asset on all...

This paper shows that information effects per se are not responsible for the Gi®en goods anomaly affecting competitive traders' demands in multi-asset, noisy rational expectations equilibrium models. The role that information plays in traders' strategies also matters. In a market with risk...

This paper shows that information effects per se are not responsible for the Giffen goods anomaly affecting competitive traders’ demands in multi- asset, noisy rational expectations equilibrium models. The role that information plays in traders’ strategies also matters. In a market with risk...

This paper studies the relationship between the amount of public information that stock market prices incorporate and the equilibrium behavior of market participants. The analysis is framed in a static, NREE setup where traders exchange vectors of assets accessing multidimensional information...

Past research has shown that the level of operating accruals is a negative cross-sectional predictor of stock returns. This paper examines whether the accrual anomaly extends to the aggregate stock market. In contrast with cross-sectional findings, there is no indication that aggregate operating...

This paper proposes a new approach for modeling investor fear after rare disasters. The key element is to take into account that investors' information about fundamentals driving rare downward jumps in the dividend process is not perfect. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the...

Progress on the question of whether policymakers should respond directly to financial variables requires a realistic economic model that captures the links between asset prices, credit expansion, and real economic activity. Standard DSGE models with fully-rational expectations have difficulty...