This paper uses a temporary equilibrium framework to evaluate the impact of expectations on asset valuation. The model determines asset prices as a function of asset supply as well as the distribution of household endowments and expectations, which is matched to survey data.

This paper explores the baby boom's impact on U.S. house prices and interest rates in the post-war 20th century and beyond. Using a simple Lucas asset pricing model, I quantitatively account for the increase in real house prices, the path of real interest rates, and the timing of low-frequency...

Milton Friedman argued that irrational traders will consistently lose money, won't survive and, therefore, cannot influence long run equilibrium asset prices. Since his work, survival and price influence have been assumed to be the same. Often partial equilibrium analysis has been relied upon to...

Using US quarterly post-war data, this paper documents the existence of two common trends among non-housing non durable and housing consumption, financial and real estate wealth, and labour income (a proxy for human wealth). The first equilibrium relationship reflects the stationarity of the...

We study the reaction of nancial markets to aggregate liquidity shocks when traders face cognition limits. While each financial institution recovers from the shock at a random time, the trader representing the institution observes this recovery with a delay, reflecting the time it takes to...

We study the reaction of nancial markets to aggregate liquidity shocks when traders face cognition limits. While each nancial institution recovers from the shock at a random time, the trader representing the institution observes this recovery with a delay, re ecting the time it takes to collect...