, across a variety of simple forecasting models, the new approach offers substantial improvements. …

utility in forecasting resulting form their properties. Leading indicators are aggregates describing a part of economy (e …The biggest business activity fluctuation analysts’ attention is focused on leading indicators. It is due to their … paper is to identify industrial business cycle leading indicators in Poland. The second aim is to estimate a leading index …

utility in forecasting resulting form their properties. Leading indicators are aggregates describing a part of economy (e …The biggest business activity fluctuation analysts’ attention is focused on leading indicators. It is due to their … paper is to identify industrial business cycle leading indicators in Poland. The second aim is to estimate a leading index …

show that country specific indicators play a much smaller role. We detect di?erences across business cycle phases but …

correlation of the economic variables with the reference series, the study of the cyclical indicators, the analysis of the … relative variability of economic series, the diagnose and prevision based on the cyclical indicators. …

show that country specific indicators play a much smaller role. We detect differences across business cycle phases but …

correlation of the economic variables with the reference series, the study of the cyclical indicators, the analysis of the … relative variability of economic series, the diagnose and prevision based on the cyclical indicators. …

show that country specific indicators play a much smaller role. We detect di?erences across business cycle phases but …