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Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomic theories. The econometric learning approach models economic agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating forecasting models in real time. The learning approach provides a stability test for rational expectations and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593735
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008918570
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003380
parameters of a simple forward-looking monetary rule. We solve the model under indeterminacy via the procedure introduced by … under indeterminacy is a mirror image of what it is under determinacy: both inflation persistence and the volatility of its … reduced-form innovations, for example, are increasing in the coefficient on inflation under indeterminacy, decreasing under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345250
The Paper approaches business cycles in terms of extrinsic uncertainty related, not to dynamic indeterminacy of … static indeterminacy of free entry oligopolistic equilibria within each period. We consider an OLG economy in which firms … dynamic indeterminacy, we can weaken the condition on the degree of increasing returns, which may be arbitrarily small (with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789194
indeterminacy and to countercyclical behavior of young-age consumption. The policy rule which minimizes inflation volatility can be … money growth targeting. Indeterminacy is more likely under an active forwardlooking rule than under the corresponding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090942
inclusion of investment has dramatic, but contrasting, effects on the range of values giving rise to indeterminacy. First, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010655968
Countercyclical markups are a key transmission mechanism in many endogenous business cycle models. Yet, recent findings suggest that aggregate markups in the US are procyclical. The current model adresses this issue. It extends Gali's (1994) composition of aggregate demand model by endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019155
Recent empirical evidence suggests that product creation is pro-cyclical and it occurs largely within existing firms. Motivated by these findings, the current paper investigates the role of intra-firm product scope choice in a general equilibrium economy with oligopolistic producers. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184657
The possibility of indeterminacy and sunspot fluctuations in dynamic rational expectations models has been often … on consumption purchases. We show that, under standard preferences and constant returns to scale in production …, indeterminacy typically prevails for an arbitrarily small amplitude of the liquidity constraint. We also analyze the cyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005560192