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core to German labor market dynamics. Chaos does not occur.  …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608718
Based on a classical financial market model different model variants known from the literature are discussed and analyzed, each focussing on modeling financial markets as a nonlinear dynamic system by introducing the formation of (heterogeneous) beliefs about future asset prices into the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428980
The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291922
Short-term contracts and exogenous productivity growth are introduced in asimple wage bargaining model. The equilibrium utilities corresponding tomilitant union behaviour are independent of the contract length. The wagedynamics are linear if strike is credible (low wage shares) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324421
This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine … outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include some new simulations to investigate whether economic time series may be … characterized by low dimensional noisy chaos. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325181
The stability of cyclical growth within the context of a model in Matsuyama (1999) is examined. It is shown that but for an extreme situation, the two-cycles are unique and a range of parameter values which imply the stability of such cyclical growth is derived. The growth enhancing property of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332291
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662516
The BDS statistic has proved to be one of several useful nonlinear diagnostics. It has been shown to have good power against many nonlinear alternatives, and its asymptotic properties as a residual diagnostic are well understood. Furthermore, extensive Monte Carlo results have proved it useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620800
We provide a fast algorithm to calculate the m-dimensional distance histogram on which Brock, Dechert, and Sheinkman's (1987) BDS-type statistics are based. The algorithm generalizes a fast algorithm due to LeBaron by calculating the histogram for any finite set of distances simultaneously, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620826
The search for deterministic chaos in economic and financial time series has attracted much interest over the past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620831