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This paper provides some test cases, called circuits, for the evaluation of Gaussian likelihood maximization algorithms of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Both I(1) and I(2) models are considered. The performance of algorithms is compared first in terms of effectiveness, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781891
We investigate the inflation rate in Colombia in terms of excess money, excess demand, deviations from PPP, and wage … inflation. In contrast to previous results for a group of industrial economias, we find that domestic factors are a far more … powerful influence on inflation than are external factors. We also find evidence of non-linear price behavior in response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262997
This paper provides some test cases, called circuits, for the evaluation of Gaussian likelihood maximization algorithms of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Both I(1) and I(2) models are considered. The performance of algorithms is compared first in terms of effectiveness, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995197
Estimation of the I(2) cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model is considered. Without further restrictions, estimation of the I(1) model is by reduced-rank regression (Anderson (1951)). Maximum likelihood estimation of I(2) models, on the other hand, always requires iteration. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755375
Estimation of the I(2) cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model is considered. Without further restrictions, estimation of the I(1) model is by reduced-rank regression (Anderson (1951)). Maximum likelihood estimation of I(2) models, on the other hand, always requires iteration. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654460
A representation for I(2) processes is derived which allows for trend-stationary components and restricts the deterministic part of the process to be at most linear. A two-step statistical analysis of the model is derived. The joint test of I(1) and I(2) cointegrating ranks is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749577
nominal money and prices to real money and the rate of inflation. This paper establishes the necessary and sufficient … transformation based on I(1) cointegration methods is suggested. It demonstrates good size and power properties in a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225498
The aim of this paper is to construct a quarterly inflation model for Croatia. In order to model inflation dynamics se … economic theories of inflation, which are also consistent with the properties of the data. A two step procedure is followed. In … the first step, the long-run sectoral analysis of inflation sources is conducted, yielding long-run determinants of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005747919
With the aid of econometric modeling, I investigate whether rapidly increasing house prices necessarily imply the existence of a bubble that will eventually burst. I consider four alternative econometric methods to construct indicators of housing market imbalances for the US, Finland and Norway....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143889
cointegration parameters. Algorithms for (constrained) maximum likelihood estimation are presented, and asymptotic properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710948