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To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns...
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price of manufactures is also associated with a higher GDP per capita growth rate. The concluding remark seems to be that an …
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the growth ofcommodity exporters. This paper adopts panel cointegration methodology to explore longer term effects than …
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This paper investigates the role of aid in mitigating the adverse effects of commodity export price shocks on growth in … commodity-dependent countries. Using a large cross-country dataset, we find that negative shocks matter for short-term growth … exchange rate substantially lower the adverse growth effect of shocks. While the mitigating effect of aid is significant in …
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, we run growth equations to analyse the possible effects of commodity prices and the dependency of economic growth on …
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China’s expected growth slowdown - from 10.3 per cent yoy in 2010 to 8.9 per cent this year and 8.3 per cent in 2012 …, potential speed bumpers ahead that might lead to lower-than-expected growth in China and an assessment of how this could in turn …
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