Showing 1 - 10 of 139
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245897
liquidity, but with potential costs of international financial contagion. An ILOLR can play a useful role in providing … international liquidity and reducing international contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248186
We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248202
shocks (“monsoons”), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on … Indonesia’s currency to domestic political and financial factors and contagion from speculative pressures in Thailand and Korea … probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248271
This paper analyzes empirically the recent Asian financial crisis using high frequency data of exchange rates and stock indices of the Philippines and Thailand. Utilizing standard time-series techniques, this study confirms that there is evidence that developments in some sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263754
The Asian financial crisis of 1997-98 was one of the most dramatic economic events of recent times, which raised many questions regarding the appropriate policy response to financial crises. This paper reviews the experience of this crisis, focusing on the overall strategy of crisis management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263845
This paper analyzes the behavior of output during currency crises using a sample of 195 crisis episodes in 91 developing countries during 1970-98. It finds that more than two-fifths of the crises in the sample were expansionary, and that output contraction was greater in large and more developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263977
This paper reviews the nature of central bank involvement in 26 episodes of financial disturbance and crises in Latin America from the mid-1990s onwards. It finds that, except in a handful of cases, large amounts of central bank money were used to cope with large and small crises alike. Pouring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264086
The recent financial crisis has shown how interconnected the financial world has become. Shocks in one location or asset class can have a sizable impact on the stability of institutions and markets around the world. But systemic risk analysis is severely hampered by the lack of consistent data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327867
This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823