Under a conventional policy rule, a central bank adjusts its policy rate linearly according to the gap between inflation and its target, and the gap between output and its potential. Under 'the opportunistic approach to disinflation' a central bank controls inflation aggressively when inflation...

The paper studies the effects of credible disinflation in the presence of real wage rigidity, comparing the Calvo and Rotemberg price setting mechanisms (the two popular variants of the New-Keynesian model). In both types of models, a credible, gradual disinflation is shown to lead to a delayed...

We show that if business cycles are driven by financial shocks, the interplay between the effective lower bound (ELB) and the costs of external financing can generate an additional supply-side channel, which causes a disconnect between inflation and output. In normal times, factor costs dominate...

Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to peak in mid-2022 and then decline, but to remain elevated...

Based on its outward-oriented development strategy, respectable growth, increased integration into world trade and financial markets, and imperfect though vibrant and wide-based democracy, Turkey is often cited as a development model for other countries in the region and elsewhere. Countering...

This paper highlights relative price adjustments taking place in the global economy as important sources of the lower levels of inflation rates observed in the recent decades. Using a markup model, it shows substantial effects from declines in wage costs and import prices relative to consumer...

This paper analyzes the cost of disinflations under real wage rigidities in a micro-foundedNew Keynesian model. The consensus is that real wage rigidities can be a useful mechanismto induce the inflation persistence that is absent in the standard Calvo model...

The paper studies the effects of credible disinflation in the presence of real wage rigidity, comparing the Calvo and Rotemberg price setting mechanisms (the two popular variants of the New-Keynesian model). In both types of models, a credible, gradual disinflation is shown to lead to a delayed...

Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to peak in mid-2022 and then decline, but to remain elevated...

We show that "zombie credit" - cheap credit to impaired firms - has a disinflationary effect. By helping distressed firms to stay afloat, such credit creates excess production capacity, thereby putting downward pressure on product prices. Granular European data on inflation, firms, and banks...