Showing 1 - 10 of 252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609685
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/ forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rate in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580967
With recovery from the global financial crisis in 2009 and 2010, inflation emerged as a major concern for many central banks in emerging Asia. We use data observed at mixed frequencies to estimate the movement of Chinese headline inflation within the framework of a state-space model, and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010559456
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274409
With recovery from the global financial crisis in 2009 and 2010, inflation emerged as a major concern for many central banks in emerging Asia. We use data observed at mixed frequencies to estimate the movement of Chinese headline inflation within the framework of a state-space model, and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399694
We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317084
2018. The DFM methodology offers a powerful and tractable means of nowcasting economic growth while accounting for mixed … content for GDP growth in India, a novel result from the viewpoint of the existing nowcasting literature. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429374
sentiment in the dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606470
This paper investigates the trade-off between timeliness and quality in nowcasting practices. This trade-off arises …. Our main finding from a historical nowcasting simulation based on euro area GDP is that the predictive power of the survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848385
and thereby shape aggregate economic fluctuations. Traditional nowcasting approches have to a relatively little degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143898