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produces consistent standard errors and a reliable method for testing the differences between the model parameters. …
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/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is possible to increase the … Brazilian banks and show that this methodology has the potential to improve simulated transition probabilities as compared to … the constant volatility case. In particular, it can shift CTM probabilities towards lower credit risk categories. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825598
This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time series behavior of credit outstanding and a two-stage program selection and access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825617
Univariate studies of the hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates have yielded consensus point estimates of the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity of between three to five years. However, least squares-based estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825679
This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825693
Mexico’s main social support program, Oportunidades, combines two methods to target cash to poor households: an initial self-selection by households who acquire knowledge about the program and apply for benefits, followed by an administrative determination of eligibility based on a means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825872
Superior information exchanged over the course of lending relationships generates bank-client specificities to the extent that such information cannot be communicated credibly to outsiders. Consequently, banks obtain higher profits from more captured borrowers than from borrowers with financing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825962