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A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic
Benes, Jaromir; Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
This paper presents a multivariate (MV) methodology for obtaining measures of excess demand that can facilitate discussion of monetary policy issues and improve policy decisions. Using data for the Czech Republic, a growing economy undergoing major structural change, it shows how the use of more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264226
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Vietnam; Bayesian Estimation of Output Gap
Maliszewski, Wojciech - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model, while treating the output gap as an unobservable series to be estimated together with other parameters. Model coefficients are easily interpretable, and the output gap series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560446
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How Different is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Blankenau, William - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada … household production sector. We use the model to generate data on home output, hours worked in the home sector, and hours spent … variables are generally less persistent than market variables, and cross-country correlations related to home production tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
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What Causes Firms to Hide Output? the Determinants of Informality
Inchauste, Gabriela; Gradstein, Mark; Dabla-Norris, Era - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
In many developing countries, a significant part of economic activity takes place in the informal sector. Earlier work has examined the determinants of the size of the informal sector, focusing separately on factors such as tax and regulation burden, financial market development, and the quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769293
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Gdp Growth, Potential Output, and Output Gaps in Mexico
Faal, Ebrima - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper analyzes the sources of Mexico's economic growth since the 1960s and compares various decompositions of historical growth into its trend and cyclical components. The role of the implied output gaps in the inflationary process is then assessed. Looking ahead, the paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604901
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Relating the Knowledge Production Function to total Factor Productivity; An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
Joutz, Frederick L.; Abdih, Yasser - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
The knowledge production function is central to R&D-based growth models. This paper empirically investigates the … knowledge production function and intertemporal spillover effects using cointegration techniques. Time-series evidence suggests … there are two long-run cointegrating relationships. The first captures a long-run knowledge production function; the second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605296
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Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap; An Application to Sweden
Saxena, Sweta Chaman; Cerra, Valerie - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605416
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United Kingdom; Selected Issues Paper
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
This paper estimates the extent of spare capacity in the U.K. economy using a range of methodologies pointing to an output gap and the behavior of inflation during large output gaps. The usefulness of fiscal rules in supporting fiscal consolidation is generally positive, and a more permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244859
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Human Capital Convergence; International Evidence
Sab, Randa; Smith, Stephen C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001
In the growth literature, evidence on income convergence is mixed. In the development literature, health and education indicators are also often used. This study examines whether health and education levels are converging across countries and calculates their convergence speed, using data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248134
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Target Zones and Forward Rates in a Model with Repeated Realignments
Bodnar, Gordon M.; Bartolini, Leonardo - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 1992
This paper studies the implications of the imperfect credibility of an exchange rate target zone on the term structure of forward premia. The relationship between spot and forward exchange rates of different maturities reflects the possibility of repeated realignments of the exchange rate band....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248258