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Expectations of Sterling returning to Gold have been disregarded in empirical work on the US dollar - Sterling exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335449
This paper takes a new empirical look at the long-standing question of the effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows by studying the case of Taiwan's exports to the United States from 1989-1998. In particular, we employ sectoral-level, monthly data and an innovative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445066
has affected the foreign value of the Israeli new shekel (ILS) and the expectations about its future value. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272159
We investigate the impact of the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcements on the level and volatility of the EUR-US Dollar exchange rate employing an AR-FIGARCH specification. Using high-frequency data we estimate the individual and complementary effects of the release of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277736
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inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, agents are assumed to switch to the rational … expectation. Rational expectations are shown to be a special (limiting) case of inferential expectations, with the test size a … becoming a metric for rationality. When inferential expectations are built into a Dornbusch-style model of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027229
Both empirical evidence and theoretical discussion have long emphasized the impact of `news' on exchange rates. In most exchange rate models, the exchange rate acts as an asset price, and as such responds to news about future returns on assets. But the exchange rate also plays a role in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666551
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