Kannan, Prakash; Köhler-Geib, Fritzi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where … the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion … is empirically shown to have an independent effect beyond other contagion channels. …