Showing 1 - 10 of 192
Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154563
We explore how a relatively small amount of heterogeneous securities created turmoil in financial markets in much of the world in 2007 and 2008. The drivers of the financial turmoil and the financial crisis of 2008 were heterogeneous securities that were hard to value. These securities created...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292330
What began as a financial crisis in the United States in 2007-2008 quickly evolved into a massive crisis of the global real economy. We investigate the importance of the bank lending and firm borrowing channel in the international transmission of bank distress to the real economy-in particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341079
Welche Bedeutung haben Bankkredite für Unternehmensinvestitionen? Eine gemeinsame Studie des DIW Berlin, der Universität Hohenheim und der Freien Universität Berlin zeigt, dass ein Rückgang des Kreditangebots der Hausbanken zu einer geringeren Fremdkapitalaufnahme von Unternehmen führt....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341111
What began as a financial crisis in the United States in 2007-2008 quickly evolved into a massive crisis of the global real economy. We investigate the importance of the bank lending and firm borrowing channel in the international transmission of bank distress to the real economy - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345586
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327794
indicative of contagion. While we find evidence of contagion from the U.S. and the global financial sector, the effects are small …. By contrast, there has been substantial contagion from domestic markets to individual domestic portfolios, with its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328201
This paper explores the link between monetary policies of large industrial countries and international credit cycles. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of large centre countries can fuel credit booms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352379
unexplained increases in factor loadings as indicative of contagion. We find evidence of systematic contagion from US markets and … contagion from domestic equity markets to individual domestic equity portfolios, with its severity inversely related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605427
test for contagion by applying the multivariate structural break test of Qu and Perron (2007) on this FAVAR detecting … Spain are central to shock transmission during the financial crisis. Contagion has been a rather rare phenomenon limited to … frequent surges in market co-movement are driven by larger shocks rather than by contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605711