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We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and...
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This article reviews the European Systematic Risk Board (ESRB), its role, approach, outputs, and effects in the European Union. The ESRB is the reason for macroprudential oversight of financial systems. Macroprudential policy is used to identify and reduce financial risks and limit financial...
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hypothesis of safe asset shortage-induced excess credit booms and financial instability. As an alternative step forward from the …. Using the index, consecutive empirical exercises confirm the positive relationship of safe asset shortage-credit expansion …-2013 presents new evidence that the (high) level of private credit at a time of increasing safe asset shortage is the major …
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-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in … house prices and credit. However, the impact is delayed and reaches its peak only after three years. In addition, the impact …
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Modern banking systems are highly interconnected. Despite their various benefits, the linkages that exist between banks carry the risk of contagion. In this paper we investigate how banks decide on direct balance sheet linkages and the implications for contagion risk. In particular, we model a...
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