This paper analyses the sustainability of the Brazilian federal fiscal policy by examining the responses of the government budget surplus to variations of the debt-GDP ratio. The approach to assess sustainability, originally proposed by Bohn (1998), circumvents the problems present in...

This paper investigates how the finances of the Brazilian federal government responded to innovations in the debts of the most indebted states, São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul. Using monthly data from 1981 to 1998, a vector autoregression system (VAR) is estimated...

This paper investigates the sustainability of the Brazilian federal domestic debt using quarterly data from 1981 to 1998. A debt is considered sustainable if the government's budget is intertemporally balanced. Sustainability is tested through the mean-zero stationarity of the discounted...

This paper investigates how the Brazilian federal domestic debt responded to innovations in fiscal and financial components of the government's budget constraint. Using monthly data from 1981:01 to 1996:12, a parsimonious model is selected to describe the federal domestic debt and a vector...