The analysis of 1991 budget implementation proves that there where no significant changes in budget revenue and expenditure structure. The two exceptions are the entrenchment of capital expenses caused by the economic depression and the decline in subsidies related to the price liberalization....

Economic models can be extremely useful in the process of economic policy making. At the same time it should be emphasised that economic models should never be seen as a panacea for solving all kinds of economic problems. This paper discusses to what extent economic models could act as a useful...

This paper presents strong empirical evidence that automatic stabilizers and countercyclical fiscal policy decrease output volatility. The conducted empirical analysis proves the economic intuition that the automatic fiscal stance is countercyclical, regardless of the size and the prosperity of...

This paper describes the model of the Bulgarian economy designed, formulated and constructed within the Bulgarian Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting. The model is an annual model, although some of the parameters are estimated on the basis of quarterly information. Its main feature is...

This paper proposes a moment-matching method for approximating vector autoregressions by finite-state Markov chains. The Markov chain is constructed by targeting the conditional moments of the underlying continuous process. The proposed method is more robust to the number of discrete values and...