Forecasting the returns from investments in mutual funds is a very difficult problem. This study examines a new forecasting approach and system for the performance of mutual funds in Greece. This is accomplished via an application of a variation of the Theta model on a time series composed of...

The Theta model created a lot of interest in academic circles due to its surprisingly good performance in the M3 forecasting competition. However, this interest was not followed up by other studies, with the exception of Hyndman and Billah in 2003. In addition, the Theta model performance has...

We significantly extend earlier work by Assimakopoulos and Nikopoloulos (2000) and Hyndman and Billah (2003) on the properties and performance of the Theta model, and potentially explain its very good performance in the M3 forecasting competition. We derive a number of new theoretical results...

The major advantage of electronic markets over nonelectronic traditional market places is that trading partners use more sophisticated methods, rules and systems of information exchange. The internet has inevitably boosted this advantage over the last decade, making electronic markets the...