Macroeconomic risk assessments play an important role in the forecasts of manyinstitutions. However, to the best of our knowledge their performance has notbeen investigated yet. In this work, we study the Bank of England’s risk forecastsfor inflation. We find that these forecasts do not...

This study analyzes the accuracy of forecasted target prices within analysts’ reports. We compute a measurefor target price forecast accuracy that evaluates the ability of analysts to exactly forecast the ex-ante (unknown)12-month stock price. Furthermore, we determine factors that explain...

This paper investigates the determinants of European financial analysts' forecasts differential accuracy.

This paper investigates the relative performance of local and foreign financial analysts on Latin American emerging markets.

The seminal study by Fama and MacBeth (1973) initiated a stream of papers testing for the cross-sectional relation between return and risk. The debate wether beta is a valid measure of risk has been renimated by Fama and French (1992) and subsequent studies.(...)

We used neural-network based modelling to generalize the linear econometric return models and compare their out-of-sample predictive ability in terms of different performance measures under three density specifications.(...)