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Influential forecasts occur when the forecast itself determines whether the forecast is tested. New product sales forecasts are often influential because a low forecast may cause a firm not to launch a new product so that actual sales are never observed. This paper considers a dilemma we face as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008787639
We evaluate whether stock prices can predict the sales takeoff and the long-term survival of firms at takeoff. We find that abnormal returns are strongly positive in the year prior to takeoff, thus suggesting an important signal of the takeoff. Moreover, we find that negative abnormal returns in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788137
We present a model that deals with the challenge of forecasting market acceptance and technology evolution along the … supply aspects, before the product is introduced, leads to a pre-launch forecasting. The evolution of the cumulative adoption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619504
Forecasting category or industry sales is a vital component of a company's planning and control activities. Sales for …-varying model signi®cantly outperformed previous models both in terms of ®tting and forecasting the sales data. Copyright # 2001 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437713
this obstacle, the authors have defined a Delphi study for reaching a scenario about the diffusion of OSS in 2010 … critical success factors and the main barriers for the diffusion and adoption of OSS. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280449
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Modeling and forecasting realized volatility is of paramount importance. Previous studies have examined the role of … both the continuous and jump components of volatility in forecasting. This paper considers how to use index level jumps and … cojumps across index constituents for forecasting index level volatility. In combination with the magnitude of past index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854930