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to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …
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We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
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predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …
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