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Recent literature on structural vector autoregressions has attempted to identify the effects on the economy of an increase in the stock of money. This work has led to a broad concensus. Initially, an increase in money leads to an increase in economic activity. Output and employment go up, the...
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This chapter gives an overview of the recent literature on indeterminacy and sunspots in macroeconomics. It discusses … effects, monopolistic competition, and increasing returns in generating indeterminacy is explored for one-sector and multi …-sector models of real business cycles and of economic growth. Indeterminacy is also studied in monetary models, as well as in models …
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This paper demonstrates the existence of a finite set of equilibria in the case of the indeterminacy of linear rational … eigenvectors related to stable eigenvalues. A finite set of equilibria is a substitute to continuous (uncountable) sets of sunspots …
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indeterminate and stable sunspots are possible. We find that capital adjustment costs of any size preclude stable sunspots for every … size are considered, a necessary condition for the existence of stable sunspots is an upward- sloping labor demand curve in … the standard result that when we abstract from capital adjustment costs, stable sunspots occur in the two-sector model for …
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postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot … windows and allowing the parameters to fall both in the determinacy and indeterminacy regions. The estimates reveal large … the sample. The results confirm that macroeconomic data in the early windows are better explained by indeterminacy, while …
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The news-shock literature interprets empirical news-shock identifications as signals about future productivity. Under this view, changes in productivity cause changes in expectations. I investigate an alternative interpretation whereby changes in expectations cause changes in productivity. I...
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