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gap and inflation for the Turkish economy using data from 2002:01 to 2021:09. First, it analyses the cointegration by …. The results also show asymmetric causality running from positive (negative) output gap to positive (negative) inflation … shock, and running from negative inflation shock to negative output gap shock. The overall findings indicate the importance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014516257
across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from … in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that … the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011575575
model of inflation determination estimated on the Czech data.We characterize the estimated components of CPI, WPI and import … scheme to calculate the structural innovations. We test the results in a simple bootstrap simulation experiment. We find two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604595
We investigate the sources of macroeconomic (output and inflation) variability in selected European countries within … currently members of the European Monetary Union and non-members. As for inflation, on the contrary, regional factors are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185978
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425867
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
This paper examines the drivers of the post-pandemic surge in inflation in four small open economies: Czechia, Hungary … significantly to inflation in the post-2020 period across countries, alongside notable contributions from domestic factors …, while monetary policy shocks have had a minimal impact on inflation since 2022 in all the countries considered. Additionally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075531
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915319
across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from … in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that … the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332599