Showing 1 - 10 of 6,224
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS … spread. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three measures of inflation expectations: the Livingston Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
impact of uncertainty and failed expectations induced by money leads to specific patterns of economic disruption. These … money but it is the organising feature of modern economies, giving rise to both episodes of stability and crises. In … constructing this argument I consider both orthodox and heterodox points of view. We analyse equilibrium models of money, and find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465939
inflation under control, and by the adoption of monetary rules tied to expectations rather than current macroeconomic conditions …This paper studies the role of expectations and monetary policy on the economy's response to climate actions. We show … mitigation tool, with a carbon tax entailing more emissions uncertainty than in a rational expectations model and a cap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471613
inflation under control, and by the adoption of monetary rules tied to expectations rather than current macroeconomic conditions …This paper studies the role of expectations and monetary policy on the economy's response to climate actions. We show … mitigation tool, with a carbon tax entailing more emissions uncertainty than in a rational expectations model and a cap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462037
This paper is aimed at revisiting monetary analysis in order to better understand erroneous choices in the conduct of monetary policy. According to the prevailing consensus, the market economy is intrinsically stable and is upset only by poor behaviour by government or the banking system. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011943175
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884
, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the … inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply factors, we also find an important role for current and expected negative … long-run price stability depends critically on expectations about labor market tightness. Using a variety of cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177637
inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610148
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many previously unexploited monthly and real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037