Showing 1 - 10 of 6,268
This paper presents evidence on the persistence of inflation in the United States over the period 1947- 2010. Of … particular interest is whether the persistence of inflation has changed over that time period. We use a reduced form approach to … measuring inflation persistence, modeling inflation as an autoregressive process. We measure persistence as the half-life of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878555
We examine real uncertainty (measured by the variability of real growth) and whether it impacts on inflation … uncertainty on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321060
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
In this paper we study the relationship between output and inflation for India, Brazil, and South Africa using the … EGARCH model. For India and South Africa, we find evidence for: (1) the Cukierman and Meltzer hypothesis that inflation … volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274392
Using a recently introduced nonparametric test, I investigate two important and distinct asymmetries in cross-country quarterly macroeconomic time series. Asymmetries are suggested by many theories (old and new), and those discovered aid in the selection of the appropriate nonlinear time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412800
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287778
This paper considers the application of long memory processes to describe inflation with seasonal behaviour. We use … inflation rates of four different countries, USA, Canada, Tunisia, and South Africa. The analysis is carried out using the … persistence is a common feature for inflation series. Note that neglecting the existence of additive outliers may possibly biased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595907
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … whether evidence for long memory (indicated by the relevance of an ARFIMA model) in G7 inflation rates is spurious or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612952
, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271118
, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271959