This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …

-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …

After almost four decades of price stability, inflation has recently approached historical highs. Initially driven by … global energy and food price increases, the magnitude of the surge in inflation caught central banks and markets by surprise … monetary policy tightening, inflation upside risks are large. How can central banks restore control - and with it their own …

In the first-half of the global financial turmoil, rising inflation was a major concern for emerging East Asian central … addressing higher inflation or supporting moderate growth. Higher food and fuel prices were the major drivers of headline … inflation. Their causes, however, were a confluence of factors--whether cyclical or structural, domestic or global, supply or …

losses for the ECB and try to assess inflation dangers stemming from the 3Y LTROs. In the same section, we also look at the …

appreciating that were put in place in 2013. I focus its on the impact on output, unemployment, and inflation. I use the synthetic … connected to disturbances created by changes in excise taxes. The effect of the commitment on inflation is positive but not …

During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing … inflation during the Great Recession. We show that inflation did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were increasing …