This Selected Issues paper examines implications for long-term bond yields in case of Japan. The analysis finds that so far, upward pressure on interest rates from high public debt has been offset by domestic factors, including a stable investor base with a preference for safe assets. As these...

The sovereign debt problems in the peripheral economies of the euro zone has started to pose a serious threat to the main economies of the Europe and perhaps to the future of the 'euro‘ itself. Such a situation is a far cry from the optimism and grand vision that marked its launch. This...

We extend the literature on budget deficits and interest rates in three ways: we examine both advanced and emerging economies and for the first time a large emerging market panel; explore interactions to explain some of the heterogeneity in the literature; and apply system GMM. There is overall a...

We verify whether cocoa prices could be a source of inflation in five countries of the West African region within a framework that includes other variables such as migrant remittances to the region and a fiscal policy variable represented by the government budget deficit. Unlike earlier studies...

This paper introduces the notion of monetary disorder. The underlying theory rests on a twin circuits view of the macro economy. The idea of monetary disorder has relevance for understanding the experience and consequences of the recent decade-long period of monetized large budget deficits and...

The paper investigates the causal link among inflation, money and budget deficits in Ethiopia for the period 1964 to 2003 using the bounds test approach to cointegration due to Pesaran et al. (2001) and using a modified version of the Granger causality test due to Toda and Yamamoto (1995). To...

The global financial crisis had a much more pronounced impact on South Africa relative to some other large emerging markets. The overriding economic policy challenge is to reduce unemployment and inequality through higher economic growth. Unemployment is a key policy focus; and a wage subsidy...

This paper discusses key findings of the First Review for Hungary under the Stand-By Arrangement. All end-December 2008 quantitative performance criteria and the continuous performance criterion on nonaccumulation of external arrears were met. The structural performance criterion on submission...