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I establish that inflation risk is priced in the cross section of stock returns: Stocks that have low returns during … inflationary times command a risk premium. I estimate a market price of inflation risk that is comparable in magnitude to the price … of risk for the aggregate market. Inflation is therefore a key determinant of risk in the cross section of stocks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752802
We study investors' perceptions of inflation through the lens of a high-frequency event study and document that they … have a stagflationary view of the world. In response to higher-than-expected inflation, investors expect firms' nominal … even decline, with increases in nominal yields offset by larger increases in inflation expectations. Consistent with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632362
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
impact of inflation on stock market returns and volatility using monthly time series data from two West African countries … case holds for Ghana. Furthermore, inflation rate and its three month average were found to have significant effect on … stock market volatility in the two countries. Measures employed towards restraining inflation in the two countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643216
nominal return on stocks move in one to one correspondence with the expected rate of inflation. The relationship between … nominal stock return and inflation is examined for four stock indices. The empirical results suggest that the Fisher effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783665
evidence of a long-run equilibrium negative relation between the inflation rate and a real stock price index. The Dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827645
This study examines the impact of inflation and output growth on stock market returns and volatility in selected Asian … (1, 1) model, it is found that macroeconomic volatility, which is measured by movement in inflation and output growth …, have a weak predictive power for stock market returns and volatility in these countries. The movements of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789390
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284044
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … of inflation above 3 percent has a substantial deleterious effect, but lowering it below 3 percent has no significant … may fail to detect a significant negative effect of trend inflation on output even when such an effect exists in reality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010925734
Joining the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened for Latvia. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. In the paper Latvian economic indicators before and after entering the EU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216353