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The proposition that inflation expectations can be extracted as inflation predictions from the government bond yield … of inflation. Examining the sub-periods separated by the adoption, in 2000, of inflation targeting, we find that the … monetary policy regime shift strengthened the relationship between the yield spread and future inflation. The results suggest …
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In the present paper we analyse whether fundamental macroeconomic factors, temporary influences or more structural factors have contributed to the recent decline in bond yields in the US. For that purpose, we start with a very general model of interest rate determination in which risk premia are...
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Increasing oil and food prices and persistent supply chain disruptions in 2022 contributed to inflation in advanced … markets. This study examines two distinct channels that transmit advanced economy inflation to emerging market bond yields by … yields two new key findings. First, advanced economy inflation has a significant effect on regime changes between expansion …
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The popularity of inflation targeting has risen in the last decade and the number of countries that adopted inflation … targeting as their monetary policy framework surpassed 40 by the end of 2016. This study analyzes whether inflation targeting … around the world has been successful in terms of achieving the announced target and keeping inflation rate around it. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016727
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
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