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We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264951
The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708985
The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312208
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010245651
We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464759
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402965
stock index that trade like shares of stock. Arbitrage costs are low because these assets have low fundamental risk, low … redemption feature facilitates arbitrage so that sophisticated traders can take advantage of and eliminate mispricing. However … performance of the S&P MidCap 400 index, an index of moderate capitalization firms, and are expected to have higher arbitrage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459103
This paper investigates the relation between investor sentiment and stock returns on the Istanbul Stock Exchange, employing vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis and Granger causality tests. The sample period extends from July 1997 to June 2005. In the VAR models, stock portfolio returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008592681
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433862
arbitrage constraint. The effectiveness of arbitrage, sentiment-driven mispricing, and market intervention are discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812093