Showing 1 - 10 of 455
In this paper, we consider a decision-maker who tries to learn the distribution of outcomes from previously observed cases. For each observed database of cases the decision-maker predicts a set of priors expressing his beliefs about the underlying probability distribution. We impose a version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270218
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and diff erently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427183
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427692
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
decisions on risk assessment and risk management under conditions of ambiguity, i.e. where probabilities cannot be assigned to … underpins conventional cost-benet analysis (CBA). The other requires that an ambiguity-averse decision-rule - of which maxmin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409139
This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity matters. It first describes thought …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200802
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897328
This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) matters. Working … that cannot be captured by noisy signals. They induce nonmonotonic changes in agent confidence and prevent ambiguity from … participation costs that depend on past market performance. Hedging of ambiguity provides a new reason why the investment horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504040
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098636