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We construct a new age-specific mortality framework and implement an exemplar (DLGC) that provides an excellent fit to data from various countries and across long time periods while also providing accurate mortality forecasts by projecting parameters with ARIMA models. The model parameters have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368238
Historically, official Norwegian mortality projections computed by Statistics Norway have consistently under-predicted life expectancy. The projected age distribution of deaths may be used to check if the official mortality projections are plausible. The aim of the paper is to verify whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968654
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This paper investigates the potential of an infant intervention to improve life expectancy, contributing to emerging interest in the early life origins of chronic disease. We analyse a pioneering program trialled in Sweden in the 1930s, which provided information, support and monitoring of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515874
The extent, speed and impact of population ageing have often been exaggerated because standard indicators such as the Old-Age Dependency Ratio or Support Ratio do not take proper account of falling mortality, the changing relationship between age and employment, or (usually) both. Neither do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516618
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This paper proposes an overlapping generation model along the lines of the papers by Fanti and Gori (2008). Its objective is to study the effect of demographic shocks on the level pension respectively in the PAYG and funded system within the context of increased life expectancy at long-run.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307952
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309459
We analyze the effect of economic conditions early in life on individual mortality rate later in life, using business cycle conditions early in life as an exogenous indicator. Individual records from Dutch registers of birth, marriage, and death, covering a window of unprecedented size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334361
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