Showing 1 - 7 of 7
An overview of results for the cointegrated VAR model for nonstationary I(1) variables is given. The emphasis is on the analysis of the model and the tools for asymptotic inference. These include: formulation of criteria on the parameters, for the process to be nonstationary and I(1),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940436
This paper discusses a number of likelihood ratio tests on long-run relations and common trends in the I(2) model and provide new results on the test of overidentifying restrictions on β’xt and the asymptotic variance for the stochastic trends parameters, α⊥1: How to specify deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749586
This paper discusses model based inference in an autoregressive model for fractional processes based on the Gaussian likelihood. The model allows for the process to be fractional of order d or d – b; where d ≥ b 1/2 are parameters to be estimated. We model the data X, …, Xт given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749662
We consider the nonstationary fractional model Delta^d Xt = epsilon t with epsilon t i.i.d.(0;sigma^2) and d 1/2. We derive an analytical expression for the main term of the asymptotic biasof the maximum likelihood estimator of d conditional on initial values, and we discussthe role of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592984
We consider model based inference in a fractionally cointegrated (or cofractional) vector autoregressive model based on the conditional Gaussian likelihood. The model allows the process X(t) to be fractional of order d and cofractional of order d-b; that is, there exist vectors β for which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584356
There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference. Finally we analyse some data on annual mean temperature and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008682909
This paper contains an overview of some recent results on the statistical analysis of cofractional processes, see Johansen and Nielsen (2010b). We first give an brief summary of the analysis of cointegration in the vector autoregressive model and then show how this can be extended to fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684786